The final round of the Six Nations promises a dramatic finish after a championship packed with twists and surprises. Three teams still have a chance of lifting the title, with two of them set to face each other in a decisive clash in Dublin.
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Meanwhile, England’s campaign could yet take another turn, as they remain technically at risk of finishing last heading into Super Saturday. Here are the permutations for each side.
Six Nations Permutations
France
The outcome is in France’s control. Since their match against England in Paris is the last game of Super Saturday, they will know exactly what result they need. In most scenarios, a bonus-point victory should be enough, unless Scotland win by 59 more points than France on the final day, which is extremely unlikely.
If Ireland beat Scotland, or if Scotland win without a bonus point, then a simple win would also secure the title for France, as Scotland would still need a huge points difference swing. If Scotland and Ireland draw, even a draw would be enough for France. Their late bonus point at Murrayfield over the weekend ensured the title race remains firmly in their hands.
Scotland
Scotland travel to Dublin to face Ireland and must win if they want to claim their first ever Six Nations title. If they achieve a better result than France, the championship will be theirs. However, because their game takes place earlier in the day, they will still need England to do them a favour in Paris regardless of the outcome.
Scotland are currently level with France on 16 points but trail significantly on points difference. Although winning in Dublin is a tough challenge, their big victory at the weekend will give them confidence.
Ireland
Ireland sit on 14 points, two behind both Scotland and France, and host Scotland in Dublin. A win would move them above both teams temporarily, but only by two points, or three with a bonus point, with France still to play England in the final match.
Like Scotland, Ireland must win and then hope France slip up. Their shortage of bonus points compared with their rivals leaves Andy Farrell’s side slightly disadvantaged, though they remain firmly in contention. If Italy beat Wales with a bonus point and overturn a 40-point difference, Ireland could slip to fourth, so the simplest way to remove any risk is to earn at least one point against Scotland, but they’ll be looking up rather than down.
