Supercomputer predicts embarrassing Six Nations home loss for Wales against France

The data model gives Wales just a 7% chance of victory and is projecting a staggering 41–3 scoreline in France’s favour at the Principality Stadium.

It’s the most eye-catching call of the weekend, but it’s not the only one. Ireland are tipped to cruise past Italy in Dublin, while England are backed to reclaim the Calcutta Cup against Scotland at Murrayfield.

Here’s a full breakdown of the supercomputer’s predictions, kick-off times, TV details and our verdict on each clash.

Competition: Six Nations
Venue: Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Date: Saturday 14 February
Kick-off: 14:10 GMT
TV: BBC / SuperSport

? Ireland 91% – Italy 6%
? Projected Score: Ireland 20 – Italy 3

Ireland enter this fixture as strong favourites. Their pack control and clinical execution both defensively and in attack should allow them to dominate territory. Italy’s recent away form in the Six Nations hasn’t been strong, and breaking down a well-organised Irish defence will be a tough ask. Ireland’s discipline and smart game management in Dublin could see them pull well clear.

Ireland 24 – Italy 7
We see Ireland winning with authority — Italy might snag a try but little else.

Competition: Six Nations
Venue: Murrayfield, Edinburgh
Date: Saturday 14 February
Kick-off: 16:40 GMT
TV: ITV / SuperSport

? Scotland 34% – England 64%
? Projected Score: Scotland 3 – England 19

The Calcutta Cup is always a fiercely contested battle, but the numbers lean this way. England’s forward pack has more control in set pieces and they typically manage phases better under pressure. Scotland’s best route to success is early intensity — if they can unsettle England in the first 20 minutes, they might keep it close. But England’s structured defence and tactical kicking should see them stay in control.

Scotland 12 – England 22
A tight first half, but England’s consistency sees them through.

Competition: Six Nations
Venue: Principality Stadium, Cardiff
Date: Sunday 15 February
Kick-off: 15:10 GMT
TV: BBC / SuperSport

? Wales 7% – France 91%
? Projected Score: Wales 3 – France 41

This prediction is eye-catching — Rugby4Cast sees France scoring big. Their backline’s firepower and cohesion in attack are major threats, and if they get early momentum, Wales could be chasing shadows. Wales pride themselves on frontier defence and kicking pressure, but this looks like a heavy mountain to climb at home. France’s ability to turn half-chances into points could lead to a very high-scoring day.

Wales 12 – France 34
Wales will score — especially in front of a passionate home crowd — but France look capable of racking up points.